Now that the FIFA World Cup is done and dusted, we look towards the very best English Premier League (EPL) crypto betting.
Focus on the draw-no-bet market
Bettors naturally look to the 1×2 odds to weigh up the probability of team 1 beating team 2 or vice versa.
When both teams are evenly matched based on their odds, predicting a winner becomes even more difficult.
But as seen time and again, the 1×2 bet is fraught with risk due to the draw option (x), which occurs more often than you might think.
So how do you get around the risk of a 1×2 bet? You place a draw-no-bet wager!
Draw-no-bet explained
This useful market eliminates a percentage of the risk associated with a traditional 1×2 bet. The draw-no-bet removes the draw (x) option leaving you with a 2-way bet.
The best part of a draw-no-bet wager is that your bet will be pushed (refunded) if the match results in a draw.
As you have effectively added insurance to your bet, the odds will reflect this with shortened odds compared to those of the 1×2 bet.
In the Sportsbet example above, you would have won $163 off a $100 3-way wager on West Ham versus $89 off a $100 draw-no-bet wager.
But, if you placed the 1×2 bet and the match resulted in a draw you would have lost your entire stake.
+0.5 Handicap = draw-no-bet
Another betting market that eliminates the risk of a draw, is the +0.5 spread wager.
This is often used to level the playing field between a superior and inferior team but it can also be used when teams are evenly matched and a draw is anticipated.
This particular wager is also knows as a +0.5 handicap and effectively adds half a goal to a team’s score.
For example, if you’re betting on the Wolves vs. West Ham match and want to bet on Wolves, you’ll place a +0.5 spread bet.
If the match ends in a 1-1 draw your spread bet will win as the final result with half a goal added to the Wolves’ score will be 1.5-1.
Why it’s worth it
In the last 6 EPL seasons, an average of 23% of the matches played resulted in a draw:
EPL Season | Draw Percentage |
---|---|
2021/22 | 23% |
2020/21 | 22% |
2019/20 | 24% |
2018/19 | 19% |
2017/18 | 26% |
2016/17 | 22% |
The extent of draw occurrences during the last season (2021/22):
Team | Draw % |
Brighton & Hove Albion | 39% |
Crystal Palace | 39% |
Burnley | 37% |
Southampton | 34% |
Chelsea | 29% |
Leeds | 29% |
Newcastle | 26% |
Leicester | 26% |
Man United | 26% |
Liverpool | 21% |
West Ham | 21% |
Brentford | 18% |
Norwich | 18% |
Wolves | 16% |
Aston Villa | 16% |
Everton | 16% |
Man City | 16% |
Watford | 13% |
Tottenham | 13% |
Arsenal | 8% |
You might want to consider a 3-way accumulator/parlay on the draw when the teams with a high draw percentage face each other.
If you’re faced with a Premier League match that could go any way, consider placing a draw-no-bet or a +0.5 spread bet at these top crypto sportsbooks or check out the best Bitcoin casino’s sportsbooks for even more options.